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Tuesday, 13 November 2018

December likely to be more volatile

Just when gold had become investor’s favorites, it started losing sheen. Friday, Gold closed at a one-week low amid investors shifting to riskier assets on the back of a higher dollar and the Federal Reserve's policy statement.

Gold eased to a one-week low on Thursday, as a recovery in the dollar and improved appetite for riskier assets pushed investors away from bullion.

Spot gold fell 0.13 percent to $1,224.09 per ounce, after touching its lowest since Nov. 1 at $1,219.59 Just when gold had become investor’s favorites, it started losing sheen. Friday, Gold closed at a one-week low amid investors shifting to riskier assets on the back of a higher dollar and the Federal Reserve's policy statement.

Gold eased to a one-week low on Thursday, as a recovery in the dollar and improved appetite for riskier assets pushed investors away from bullion.

Spot gold fell 0.13 percent to $1,224.09 per ounce, after touching its lowest since Nov. 1 at $1,219.59 earlier during the day.

Gold prices fell to their lowest in a week on Friday, and were set for their biggest weekly fall since August, on a firmer dollar as the U.S. Federal Reserve indicated they will continue to raise interest rates, lowering demand for bullion.

In the past fortnight we saw the dollar going week on the belief that losses for U.S. President Donald Trump's Republican Party in the midterm elections would make further fiscal stimulus measures unlikely.

But it didn’t take too long for the dollar to get back into action. The dollar has mounted a significant rally. Many reasons were cited for this bounce back-

The Fed kept interest rates steady on Thursday
It reaffirmed its monetary tightening stance.
Robust U.S. economy kept the currency underpinned
Investors positioned for a Federal Reserve interest rate rise next month
Political risks in Europe put pressure on the euro and the pound.
Fears about a no-deal Brexit gave dollar the push
Growing rift in Europe over Italy's budget
Reload of long dollar positions by investors
Vulnerability of European currencies
Weakening of the Euro over concerns about Rome's tussle with the European Commission over its 2019 budget
Weakness in Italy's banking sector
The melancholy in Europe has been good news for dollar
Easing of China-U.S. trade tensions
Weak China data
Weakening euro zone economy is expected to trigger further euro-selling pressure.


All these factors clubbed together strengthened the dollar and hence the dollar rallied to a 16-month high on Monday.

The dollar extended its recovery following a sigh of relief across markets after the U.S. midterm election results, and as investors turned their attention towards the Fed.

Gold has always been keeping a watch on the dollar and moving accordingly. Currently too it is dollar-watching and keeping an eye on the interest rate decisions. Gold has come under pressure because of a stronger dollar. Also the FOMC meeting showed no change in the interest rates. Gold might turn to the bears as any news that is positive for the U.S. dollar and the U.S economy as a whole will bring about a fall in the yellow metal and push prices down.

A lot is expected to happen by the end of year and these activities will sure create volatility on a global level. Ongoing trade disputes. Escalating Saudi- Arabian tensions and Brexit are all in line to occur. December is likely to be more volatile and hence a lot is expected to happen as we get closer to end the year.




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