Gold should be brought strategically

Gold has always been considered inversely proportional to other assets in its class- equity, debt, real estate etc. Amongst all these, gold has always given better returns during risk-off periods. The reason why gold enjoys a safe haven appeal is that it protects investors’ capital against tail risks and other events that have an adverse impact on capital or wealth.

During this pandemic too, gold has been seen performing significantly well across all asset classes. Precious metals prices continued their three-month long uptrend amid the COVID-19 pandemic. Demand for gold has been buoyed by safe-haven buying and global policy support in response to the pandemic. However, we saw gold fall sharply as the news of Russia discovering a vaccine came in.

The world is eagerly waiting for the discovery of a covid-19 vaccine in the hope that normalcy will return soon after. While experts say that it will definitely boost the economy, the impact may not be positive for all investment asset classes. For instance, gold, which has had a dream run this year, may correct, while equity might see a rally in the short term as it may have already factored in the vaccine discovery event. Experts believe that gold prices may correct post after a vaccine is approved.

Gold had a substantial run over the past one year and as no asset class can move in a straight line forever, gold prices are expected to correct as soon as an approved vaccine is discovered. However, the resurgence of patients in Europe is a brutal reminder that the pandemic is not over yet and that the second wave is only a couple of months away.

Prithviraj Kothari believes that such a second wave would be positive for gold prices. However, it should include the US as well, as the resurgence in cases limited to Europe could strengthen the greenback against the euro and gold, neutralizing the increased safe-haven demand for the yellow metal.

-If the second wave occurs, it should be bullish for gold not only because of the resulting economic slowdown and increased uncertainty but also because of the new stimulus programs that would probably be announced by both by the central banks and the governments.

And hence, sentiments for gold remain bullish. Following these sentiments, Smart investors are rightly buying gold, recognising it to be a hedge and/or a store of value during uncertainty. While demand for jewellery and physical gold has taken a hit, the focus is on the investment forms of gold. Even the central banks of the world, recognising the risk involved, are adding to their gold reserves. Gold, as you may know, plays an important role in central banks’ reserve management.

The top gold dealer in India opines given the on-going extreme turbulence in the equities, gold holds the potential to provide respectable returns.

Precious metals prices are expected to average 13% higher in 2020 relative to 2019 on expectations of strong demand due to heightened global uncertainty and ultra-low real interest rates. Upside risks to this outlook include a second COVID-19 wave causing a sharper-than-expected global slowdown. On the downside, a stronger U.S. dollar could push prices lower.

Particularly now when there is no imminent end to the Covid-19 pandemic, the spotlight will continue to remain on the precious metal.

Until the Covid-19 pandemic is contained and economic uncertainty prevails, the spotlight will continue to remain on gold. It makes good sense to buy gold strategically. The long-term secular uptrend exhibited by gold highlights the importance of owning gold in the portfolio with a longer investment horizon.

Gold looking for guidance from Central bank policy meeting amid 50 Days left for US elections

Gold has taken up a holding position in the $1900s after setting a mark just above $2000 an ounce in August, and this week's Federal Reserve meeting will continue to affect the next step of the haven. The two-day meeting — with the statement and Jerome Powell's Wednesday press conference — It just comes a few weeks after the Fed chief explained the Bank's new approach to fulfilling its dual mandate by embracing a more optimistic approach to inflation. Powell at the time described the long awaited change as "a robust update."

Officials will also update their economic and rate predictions in September, but the framework review may have taken the most of its thunder. U.S. central bankers will measure where they see rates going into 2022 in their common "dot plot" chart, but most Fed watchers and analysts across the world as well as top gold dealers alike have already expected rates remaining at zero well before the Fed's framework review has solidified that hunch.

There’s good and bad news. Before lifting prices, the Fed will be vigilant as it expects the recovery to speed up. But the bad news is that it does not have a lot of ammunition left in its arsenal to support the economy if it winds up in need of more aid — at least in the manner it may need aid. Officers say they 're left with more firepower, and they do.

In addition, the Bank of Japan and Bank of England will take decisions this week, all on Thursday. The US presidency fight is entering the home stretch as the electoral tradition that doesn't have a global peer hits the final 50 days before Election Day. The threats of U.S. presidential elections are expected to be more pronounced in investor decision making when there are now just 50 days until November 3^rd. In commodities, that matters most for gold and silver traders says PrithvirajKothari of RSBL.

With Joe Biden ahead in the polls, Donald Trump has consistently suggested that there will be fraud without proof, claiming mail-in votes would result in theft. That's sparked a tide of chaotic, disputed speculation that unleashes market uncertainty. In recent weeks, Gold 's remarkable, record-setting run has seen its strength wane, even as equities have been rocked by a selloff. The quickly shrinking horizon to Election Day can inject some fresh enthusiasm into the safe-haven, boosting holdings in the ETF.